Insight

Future Loss of Earning Capacity for Young People: What a Recent Queensland Case Means

Published April 23, 2026

Ryan Stehlik

Written by Ryan Stehlik

Published: May 28, 2026

A recent Queensland District Court decision highlights that an injury claim is not only about what someone earns today. For a young person, the more complex question is often what they might reasonably have earned in the future if the injury had not occurred. In Ardis-Phasey v Neal & Anor [2026] QDC 25, the court examined that issue closely and also made notable observations about insurer surveillance filmed inside a retail store.

For people dealing with a motor vehicle accident claim or another personal injury matter in Queensland, the decision illustrates two important points. First, future loss of earning capacity is not confined to a straightforward comparison of wages. Second, surveillance footage does not necessarily weaken a claim, particularly where it aligns with the injured person’s account.

Why this case matters

The plaintiff was injured in a car accident at age 14. By the time the matter reached trial he was 20. Liability had already been admitted, but there was a dispute about the ongoing effects of his lower back injury and what that meant for his working life. The court ultimately assessed total damages at $182,800, including $160,000 for future economic loss.

This is significant because younger claimants often have limited work history and no settled career path. Courts must still assess future earning capacity, but they do so by examining the available evidence in a broader and more practical way.

The court accepted ongoing back pain despite insurer challenges

Credibility was a key issue in the case. The plaintiff’s back pain was largely established through his own reporting, which insurers frequently scrutinise. The judge recognised that lower back pain is not always confirmed by clear clinical findings and noted that these cases often depend on whether the plaintiff is considered a reliable witness.

After extensive cross‑examination about sport, gym activity, employment and surveillance footage, the court accepted the plaintiff’s evidence. The judge described him as disciplined and careful in his answers. The court also acknowledged that younger people may continue activities or work through discomfort, sometimes pushing themselves further than they should. That behaviour did not undermine the existence of an injury.

The point is an important one in Queensland personal injury matters. A claimant is not automatically viewed as unreliable simply because they have attempted to keep working, remain active or carry on with daily life.

How courts assess future loss of earning capacity for a young person

The legal framework comes from section 55 of the Civil Liability Act 2003 (Qld). The provision applies where future earnings cannot be calculated with precision by reference to a clear weekly loss. In those circumstances, the court must explain the assumptions and approach used to reach its assessment.

It is about earning capacity, not just current wages

A central point in the judgment was that the task is not simply comparing current wages with an alternative figure. Instead, the court must consider how the injury affects the person’s ability to earn income over time and determine fair compensation for that reduced capacity.

This means a loss of earning capacity can exist even if the person remains employed. In this case, the plaintiff was working at Costco and able to complete full shifts. However, the court accepted that his injury could limit the sort of physically demanding work he might otherwise have pursued.

A 20‑year‑old’s current job is not the whole story

The judge also observed that it can be unrealistic to assume that what someone is doing at 20 reflects what they would have done for the rest of their working life. Young adults often change direction, develop skills and move into different roles as their careers develop.

This reasoning can be particularly relevant where a person’s current position does not fully reflect their potential future path. In this matter, the court found the plaintiff to be hardworking, disciplined and physically capable, with the attributes suited to skilled or semi‑skilled manual work. The injury was significant because it could restrict or slow that trajectory, even though he was able to continue lighter duties at the time of trial.

The assessment was based on several factors, including his work ethic, likely employment direction, medical evidence, the possibility that his back condition may need to be disclosed to future employers and the prospect that treatment could reduce long‑term effects.

What the court said about surveillance footage filmed at Costco

Another notable feature of the decision involved surveillance obtained by the insurer.

Why the footage did not damage the plaintiff’s case

The plaintiff was filmed while working inside Costco. Rather than weakening the claim, the judge observed that the footage showed him regularly performing small back stretches during his shift. This behaviour tended to support his account that the pain was ongoing.

The decision serves as a reminder that surveillance footage must be considered in context. Being recorded performing ordinary tasks or attending work does not automatically undermine a claim. Courts examine what the footage actually demonstrates rather than relying on the mere existence of surveillance.

Why the court criticised the filming

The judge also expressed concern about how the footage had been obtained. It appeared the filming occurred inside the plaintiff’s workplace and another retail premises without any suggestion of consent from the occupiers. The court noted that this likely involved unlawful trespass. The recording of a young woman who was not connected to the proceedings was also criticised.

While insurers are entitled to investigate claims, the judgment makes clear that surveillance activities must still remain within the bounds of the law.

Key points from the decision

  • A claimant may still be accepted as credible even if they continue working or remain active.
  • A limited work history does not prevent a court from assessing future economic loss.
  • Courts may consider likely career development, aptitude and work ethic rather than relying only on present income.
  • Surveillance evidence must be examined carefully to determine what it actually shows.
  • Where a precise weekly loss cannot be calculated, section 55 allows the court to make a reasoned overall assessment.

When legal advice may be helpful

For younger people who are still establishing their working life, an injury can raise complex questions about future earning capacity. Medical evidence, employment history, training opportunities and the physical demands of different types of work can all become relevant when assessing potential long‑term loss.

Obtaining legal advice early can assist in understanding how these factors may be considered in a Queensland personal injury claim and what evidence may be needed to properly address future economic loss.

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